One of the biggest lies that is quietly draining the accounts of many bettors is the belief that favourites are always the smartest option to play because they look strong on paper and the odds feel safer when they are small.

But if you have been betting for long or if you’ve been following JeoTips for a while now then you will already know that favourites lose matches all the time and when they do it’s usually the people who were chasing safe wins that suffer the most.

So what is the truth if you want to start betting with results instead of regrets and what exactly makes a value pick better than a popular team that everyone expects to win easily?

Favourites Don’t Mean Guaranteed Wins

Low odds on a team win means that they are favorites to win but this does not tell the story always. We have seen cases where the team that is favorite to win loses. 

Underdogs sometimes do well to get the win and this is something that most bettors don’t think about but if you have been betting long enough or watching football long enough, you will know that underdogs sometimes create surprises. 

There are times when the favorite team could be outmuscled or they could have played badly. 

A big team may struggle against a small team if they were on the road in another competition, if they do not need to win the game, if they are resting their key players for a bigger game, and so on. 

So there are times when from mere observation, you can tell that a favorite may not win and those can lead to value picks. 

Value Picks Are Based on Opportunity Not Popularity

If you are going to choose value picks, one thing you need to know is that these options are never based on popularity. Bettors generally go with the obvious favorites and never think of the smaller teams. 

But there are times when, from careful analysis, we can find games where the team considered underdogs could win. 

This is how we spot those teams:

If a team has a 60% chance to win but the bookie gives them 3.20 odds that is a value pick because the potential reward is higher than the risk and that is what smart betting is supposed to look like.

It may not feel as exciting as backing Real Madrid or Man City to win every time but over the long run it is the value picks that will give you the profit while favourites will keep offering you disappointment dressed in confidence.

Value Picks Help You Win More When You’re Right

One of the most painful things in betting is that feeling when you get the prediction right but the reward is so small that it doesn't even cover your previous losses or move your bankroll forward.

That is what favourites do to you especially when you are stacking them just to build odds and you end up risking everything for a tiny return that gets wiped out by just one upset.

But when you follow value picks the odds are fair the reward is better and even when you don’t win every single time the wins that come will cover more ground than all the small safe picks that keep breaking.

How JeoTips Helps You with Value Picks

JeoTips is not the site where you just get 10 popular games only. We know how this often ends. What we do is to make sure that we give you games devoid of sentiments and emotions. 

For us to choose value picks, we do a lot of research to ensure that we are spotting opportunities that are not commonly seen by mere guessing and assumptions. 

Our goal is to find the most valuable games and for us to do that easily, the process of research is critical. We look at team form, H2H records, player availability, and more for us to decide if there could be a value pick waiting to be scooped. 

And the good thing about this is that we do not compromise on looking for value picks when it is clear that the favorites are going to win. This balance is what gives us the edge and it is why you can trust us when we give you predictions each day. 

Check our football prediction categories today to see the value picks that we have chosen.